Ranking Fantasy Baseball Pitchers, Lineup Advice For Monday’s MLB Games

Look for our fantasy baseball starting pitcher rankings, daily batter upgrades and demotions to help you make smart fantasy baseball lineup decisions and MLB betting tips. MLB game odds are provided by Caesars Sportsbook, and fantasy tips are geared toward ESPN 10-team leagues with standard scoring.

To note: This file will be updated with any overnight pitch changes or weather-related game postponements, as well as adding the latest MLB game odds at the stated posting time.

What you need to know for Monday’s MLB games

By Todd Zola

  • While it’s hoped the overall attack will increase as the weather warms, there’s clearly more to the current suppressed score than the cool April temperatures. The first Monday in May fuels fewer races as the top two runners in the standings face off, as do the next two. So expect the scoreboard operators at Citi Field and LoanDepot Park to be bored.

  • The team with the best chance of getting twisted numbers is the Minnesota Twins as they open a road series against the Baltimore Orioles and the slate’s lowest-ranked starter in Tyler Wells. The Visitors have been the league’s fifth most productive offense over the past week, so it’s worth checking out the availability of Max Kepler (62% rostered in ESPN leagues) along with Gary Sanchez (41% rostered), Gio Urshela (19%), Ryan Jeffers (2%) and Trevor Larnach (1%).

  • The Twins also feature the first starter of the day with Chris Paddack (11%) taking the hill at Camden Yards. Paddack has 10 strikeouts with just one free pass in his last two outings, covering 10 1/3 frames, helping battle a bloated .356 BABIP. The Orioles have hit a 26% clip so far, the sixth-highest rate in the league. With strikeouts and innings being integral to traditional league scoring as well as DFS, Paddack is one of the best trading options for both.

  • Pitchers to broadcast are rare on Monday’s eight-game slate. Joining Paddack is Steven Matz (42%). Please note that storms are forecast for late afternoon in St. Louis, so the series opener between the visiting Kansas City Royals and the St. Louis Cardinals has been moved to 1 p.m. 15 p.m. ET. In other words, if you want to use Matz, don’t delay. The southpaw lasted just four frames last time out against the Mets, but he has 23 strikeouts (with just five walks) in 17 2/3 stanzas and is backed by one of the best defenses in the league.

  • Normally only registered pitchers in less than 50% of ESPN leagues are featured as streamers, but on a day with limited picks, Drew Rasmussen (62%) and Patrick Sandoval (64%) are worth mentioning, though. that they are both on the road. Sandoval and the Los Angeles Angels visit a depleted Chicago White Sox club, while Rasmussen and the Rays embark on a long West Coast trip to Oakland.

  • Jordan Montgomery is listed in 78% of ESPN leagues, clearly a high amount, but he’s still game play. With a game on the road for the New York Yankees, it’s wise to book the southpaw. Divisions facing left-handed pitching are often skewed as approximately 72% of plate appearances are against right-handers, but with a wOBA of .443 against left-handers, it’s safe to say the Toronto Blue Jays are comfortable in this scenario. They’ll be expensive, but a Blue Jays stack should be one of the few productive formations on what looks like a low-scoring ledger.

Ranking of starting pitchers for Monday

Top hitters under-50% listed for Monday

The best and worst hitters of the day are generated by THE BAT X, a projection system created by Derek Carty using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, taking into account a variety of factors, including talent players, stadiums, bullpens, weather, referees, defense, receiver framing and more.

  • Chas McCormick (HOU, LF – 1%) against Marco Gonzales

  • Jeremy Pena (HOU, SS – 44%) against Gonzales

  • Aledmys Diaz (HOU, 3G — 2%) against Gonzales

  • Jesus Aguilar (MIA, 1G — 34%) against Zac Gallen

  • Abraham Toro (SEA, 2B — 2%) at Jake Odorizzi

  • Alejandro Kirk (TOR, C — 11%) against Montgomery

  • Aaron Hicks (NYY, CF — 7%) at Ross Stripling

  • David Peralta (ARI, LF — 14%) to Pablo Lopez

  • Brandon Nimmo (NYM, CF — 49%) vs. Charlie Morton

  • Harrison Bader (STL, CF — 20%) vs. Zack Greinke

Worst hitters over 50% for Monday

  • Dansby Swanson (ATL, SS — 73%) to Chris Bassitt

  • Travis d’Arnaud (ATL, C — 68%) at Bassitt

  • Eduardo Escobar (NYM, 2G — 85%) against Morton

  • Yasmani Grandal (CHW, C — 93%) against Sandoval

  • Jared Walsh (LAA, 1B — 85%) at Dylan Cease

  • David Fletcher (LAA, 2B — 53%) to Stop

  • Sean Murphy (OAK, C — 81%) against Rasmussen

  • Mark Canha (NYM, LF – 66%) against Morton

  • Bobby Witt Jr. (KC, SS — 88%) at Matz

  • Austin Riley (ATL, 3G — 99%) at Bassitt

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